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Paidha Black Angels vs Iganga United

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels play Iganga United in the Big League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paidha Black Angels averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Iganga United averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Paidha Black Angels won 1, Iganga United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Paidha Black Angels and 0.63 for Iganga United. This points to a Paidha Black Angels double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Paidha Black Angels
20%
Draws
30%
Iganga United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Paidha Black Angels picked up more points recently compared to Iganga United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 29%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paidha Black Angels Iganga United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Iganga United
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Big League
Iganga United vs Paidha Black Angels
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paidha Black Angels 51 / 100
Iganga United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paidha Black Angels Iganga United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paidha Black Angels or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paidha Black Angels attacking → ← attacking Iganga United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paidha Black Angels scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Iganga United let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Paidha Black Angels went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Iganga United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 38
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717