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Paiosaco vs Betanzos CF

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Casariego A.
17' Event
Belkalcha B.
33' Event
Gordo F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Paiosaco and Betanzos CF finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paiosaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Paiosaco
15%
Draws
32%
Betanzos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Betanzos CF haven't matched Paiosaco's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paiosaco's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 20%
Betanzos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiosaco Betanzos CF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 0.93 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Betanzos CF
3:1
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Betanzos CF vs Paiosaco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paiosaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordo F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Belkalcha B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Betanzos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Casariego A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiosaco 36 / 100
Betanzos CF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiosaco Betanzos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Betanzos CF conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Paiosaco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Betanzos CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Betanzos CF
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiosaco

(Home)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
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Betanzos CF

(Away)
11 May
Betanzos CF
1 : 2
Noia
04 May
Viveiro
3 : 0
Betanzos CF
01 May
Villalonga
0 : 3
Betanzos CF
27 Apr
Betanzos CF
2 : 3
Sarriana
20 Apr
Alondras
0 : 2
Betanzos CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)