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Paiosaco vs CD Choco

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
Paiosaco Logo

Paiosaco

1 - 0
FT
CD Choco Logo

CD Choco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 game between Paiosaco and CD Choco finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paiosaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Paiosaco
15%
Draws
0%
CD Choco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Paiosaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paiosaco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 68%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiosaco CD Choco
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs CD Choco
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Paiosaco
1:3
Mar 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Paiosaco
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs CD Choco
0:2
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs CD Choco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiosaco 95 / 100
CD Choco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiosaco CD Choco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paiosaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Choco conceded in 97% of 33 recent games.

CD Choco's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Paiosaco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paiosaco VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiosaco

(Home)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
Page 1 of 7

CD Choco

(Away)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)