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Paiosaco vs Estradense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fernandez D.
55' Event
Belkalcha B.
90' Event
Vazquez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Paiosaco and Estradense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paiosaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Paiosaco
30%
Draws
23%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estradense come out ahead of Paiosaco on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Paiosaco taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 68%
Estradense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiosaco Estradense
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Estradense
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Paiosaco
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Paiosaco
2:3
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Estradense
0:3
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Estradense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paiosaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belkalcha B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiosaco 68 / 100
Estradense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiosaco Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paiosaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estradense let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Paiosaco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Paiosaco found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Estradense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiosaco

(Home)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
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Estradense

(Away)
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)