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Paiosaco vs Silva SD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Alonso R.
73' Event
Alonso R.
85' Event
Trigo P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Paiosaco and Silva SD finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Silva SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paiosaco
30%
Draws
37%
Silva SD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Silva SD come out ahead of Paiosaco on wins alone.
  • Silva SD are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 21%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paiosaco Silva SD
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Silva SD
0:3
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Paiosaco
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Silva SD
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Paiosaco
1:1
Mar 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Paiosaco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paiosaco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trigo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paiosaco 12 / 100
Silva SD 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paiosaco Silva SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Silva SD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Paiosaco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Paiosaco scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Silva SD
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paiosaco

(Home)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
Page 1 of 6

Silva SD

(Away)
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)