Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Paiosaco and UD Ourense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ourense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Ourense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Paiosaco are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- UD Ourense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paiosaco | UD Ourense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paiosaco Compare
UD Ourense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: UD Ourense conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Paiosaco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: UD Ourense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Paiosaco's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Paiosaco
(Home)UD Ourense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 73 |
| 2 | Gran Pena | 34 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 3 | Arosa SC | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 39:23 | 58 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Sarriana | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:35 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 46:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 8 | Estradense | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:32 | 45 |
| 9 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 33:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Viveiro | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:42 | 44 |
| 11 | Alondras | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 37:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Silva SD | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:35 | 43 |
| 13 | Lugo B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 32:34 | 43 |
| 14 | Betanzos CF | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:31 | 43 |
| 15 | Rapido de Bouzas | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 16 | Paiosaco | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Pontevedra B | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 18 | Arzua | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24:66 | 18 |
