Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011

CD Marino

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pajara Playas play CD Marino in the Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pajara Playas averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. CD Marino averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Pajara Playas won 1, CD Marino won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2011 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Pajara Playas and 1.36 for CD Marino. This points to a Pajara Playas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Pajara Playas

30%

Draws

31%

CD Marino

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pajara Playas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Pajara Playas picked up more points recently compared to CD Marino.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Pajara Playas Clean Sheet 18%

CD Marino Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pajara Playas	CD Marino
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	13	7
Draws	4	16
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.3	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Pajara Playas vs CD Marino

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Dec 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

CD Marino vs Pajara Playas

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

CD Marino vs Pajara Playas

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Oct 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Pajara Playas vs CD Marino

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pajara Playas 39 / 100

CD Marino 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pajara Playas CD Marino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pajara Playas or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pajara Playas attacking → ← attacking CD Marino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pajara Playas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

CD Marino let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Pajara Playas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Marino lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lanzarote	40	23	10	7	65:30	79
2	Las Palmas B	40	23	9	8	68:43	78
3	Tenerife B	40	21	9	10	64:34	72
4	Atletico Granadilla	40	19	14	7	48:29	71
5	Villa Santa Brigida	40	17	12	11	62:47	63
6	CD Marino	40	17	11	12	52:38	62
7	Corralejo	40	16	14	10	52:39	62
8	Pajara Playas	40	17	6	17	54:59	57
9	SD Tenisca	40	17	6	17	48:58	57
10	Tijarafe	40	16	8	16	54:48	56
11	Vera CD	40	15	11	14	63:60	56
12	CD Laguna	40	15	6	19	47:48	51
13	Mensajero	40	14	8	18	62:62	50
14	AD Huracan	40	12	13	15	45:59	49
15	Teror	40	12	13	15	53:60	49
16	Las Zocas	40	12	11	17	42:50	47
17	Victoria CD	40	14	4	22	36:58	46
18	Orientacion Maritima	40	10	15	15	45:59	45
19	San Isidro	40	12	8	20	44:69	44
20	UD Guia	40	11	9	20	37:47	42
21	UD Realejos	40	6	5	29	40:84	23