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Pajara Playas vs Victoria CD

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 game between Pajara Playas and Victoria CD finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pajara Playas
15%
Draws
36%
Victoria CD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pajara Playas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pajara Playas come out ahead of Victoria CD on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Pajara Playas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pajara Playas Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria CD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pajara Playas Victoria CD
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.36 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Pajara Playas vs Victoria CD
2:0
Dec 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Pajara Playas
2:1
Mar 27, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Pajara Playas vs Victoria CD
1:1
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Pajara Playas
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pajara Playas 85 / 100
Victoria CD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pajara Playas Victoria CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pajara Playas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pajara Playas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Victoria CD has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pajara Playas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pajara Playas VS Victoria CD
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pajara Playas

(Home)
14 May
Atletico Granadilla
3 : 1
Pajara Playas
08 May
Pajara Playas
2 : 0
Victoria CD
30 Apr
Las Zocas
0 : 1
Pajara Playas
24 Apr
Pajara Playas
3 : 0
Mensajero
17 Apr
CD Laguna
0 : 1
Pajara Playas
Page 1 of 7

Victoria CD

(Away)
15 May
Victoria CD
2 : 1
UD Guia
08 May
Pajara Playas
2 : 0
Victoria CD
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
24 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
2 : 0
Victoria CD
17 Apr
Victoria CD
1 : 0
UD Realejos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corralejo 41 21 16 4 56:25 79
2 Las Palmas B 41 20 14 7 67:38 74
3 Pajara Playas 41 21 11 9 64:36 74
4 CD Marino 41 19 13 9 65:39 70
5 Mensajero 41 17 17 7 59:36 68
6 Atletico Granadilla 41 19 11 11 55:48 68
7 Villa Santa Brigida 41 15 15 11 42:29 60
8 UD Realejos 41 15 11 15 45:43 56
9 AD Huracan 41 14 13 14 42:40 55
10 SD Tenisca 41 16 7 18 55:47 55
11 Tijarafe 41 12 16 13 51:53 52
12 Castillo CF 41 11 17 13 46:50 50
13 Orientacion Maritima 41 12 14 15 44:55 50
14 Teror 41 12 13 16 46:53 49
15 CD Laguna 41 12 11 18 41:54 47
16 Las Zocas 41 11 14 16 38:53 47
17 Victoria CD 41 10 17 14 37:44 47
18 CD Charco Del Pino 41 10 16 15 39:50 46
19 Galdar 41 9 13 19 34:62 40
20 Los Llanos 41 7 15 19 33:58 36
21 Univ. Las Palmas B 41 7 11 23 44:73 32
22 Fuerteventura 21 5 7 9 23:40 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)