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Paju Frontier vs Busan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Paju Stadium, Paju
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paju Frontier host Busan in the K League 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Busan have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Paju Frontier have conceded 1.21 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Busan slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (0.88 - 0.88) back Busan to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Paju Frontier
30%
Draws
23%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paju Frontier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Busan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paju Frontier are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 68%
Busan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paju Frontier Busan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Paju Frontier
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paju Frontier 59 / 100
Busan 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paju Frontier Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paju Frontier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Busan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Paju Frontier went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Busan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paju Frontier VS Busan
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paju Frontier

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimhae
0 : 2
Paju Frontier
04 Sept
Paju Frontier
0 : 0
Daegu
29 Aug
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Paju Frontier
23 Aug
Seoul E-Land
1 : 1
Paju Frontier
16 Aug
Paju Frontier
2 : 1
Seongnam
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Busan

(Away)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)