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Pakhtakor II vs Aral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pro Liga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pakhtakor II
15%
Draws
69%
Aral
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aral lately — more wins on the board than Pakhtakor II.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 13%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor II Aral
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.76 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.31 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
3:0
Nov 2, 2016 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Aral
1:1
Apr 6, 2016 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
6:2
Nov 2, 2015 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Aral
1:1
Aug 18, 2015 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
Aral 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor II Aral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pakhtakor II's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aral conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Pakhtakor II has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor II VS Aral
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor II

(Home)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
Page 1 of 6

Aral

(Away)
08 Oct
Aral
3 : 0
TerDU
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Samarkand 32 26 4 2 86:19 82
2 Norin Haqqulobod 32 24 3 5 63:29 75
3 Sementchi Kuvasoy 32 23 5 4 69:19 74
4 Uz Dong Ju Andijon 32 17 4 11 67:58 55
5 Osiyo Tashkent 32 15 6 11 63:46 51
6 Nasaf Qarshi II 32 15 1 16 61:62 46
7 Xorazm Urganch 32 12 6 14 56:50 42
8 Nurafshon 32 13 2 17 56:61 41
9 Mashal Muborak II 32 11 8 13 46:59 41
10 Aral 32 12 2 18 71:88 38
11 FK Yozyovon 32 11 5 16 58:76 38
12 Zaamin 32 10 6 16 44:59 36
13 Lokomotiv BFK 32 10 5 17 55:66 35
14 Khotira 79 32 10 3 19 51:78 33
15 Gijduvon 32 9 5 18 51:93 32
16 FK Kasansay 32 9 4 19 42:63 31
17 Pakhtakor II 32 7 7 18 49:62 28
18 Oktepa Tashkent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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