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Pakhtakor II vs FC Lochin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
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Match Events

40' Event
Narziev A.
70' Event
Bekmurodov S.
75' Event
Erkinov E.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Pakhtakor II and FC Lochin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pakhtakor II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Pakhtakor II
15%
Draws
59%
FC Lochin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Lochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Lochin come out ahead of Pakhtakor II on wins alone.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 16%
FC Lochin Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakhtakor II FC Lochin
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.76 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs FC Lochin
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Pro Liga
FC Lochin vs Pakhtakor II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakhtakor II Compare

Top Goalscorer Narziev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erkinov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FC Lochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekmurodov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakhtakor II 31 / 100
FC Lochin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakhtakor II FC Lochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Lochin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Pakhtakor II's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Lochin conceded in 59% of 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pakhtakor II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pakhtakor II VS FC Lochin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakhtakor II

(Home)
08 Oct
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Pakhtakor II
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
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FC Lochin

(Away)
07 Oct
BuxDu
2 : 6
FC Lochin
21 Sept
FC Lochin
0 : 3
Respublika FA
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
06 Sept
FC Lochin
1 : 1
Gazalkent
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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