Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
9'
9'
Khamdamov D.
Assist: Resan B.
15'
15'
Mozgovoy A.
20'
20'
Urozov J.
AI Match Summary
Pakhtakor in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pakhtakor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Pakhtakor have won more games recently than Din. Samarkand.
- Model gives Pakhtakor a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 68%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Din. Samarkand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
4:2
Sep 25, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
1:0
Aug 11, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Khamdamov D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Resan B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Khozhimirzaev A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Amonov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 59 / 100
Din. Samarkand 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Din. Samarkand
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Pakhtakor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Pakhtakor scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Din. Samarkand has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Din. Samarkand
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
01 Aug
Andijan
0 : 0 Pakhtakor
26 Jul
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
17 Jul
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
28 Apr
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
Din. Samarkand
(Away) 19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
29 Jul
Din. Samarkand
3 : 2 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
23 Jul
Termez Surkhon
1 : 2 Din. Samarkand
18 Jul
Qizilqum
1 : 2 Din. Samarkand
28 Apr
Andijan
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 42:10 | 42 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:17 | 38 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 33 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:17 | 31 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 28 |
| 6 | OKMK | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:29 | 25 |
| 9 | Andijan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:20 | 24 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 32:36 | 24 |
| 11 | Xorazm Urganch | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | 20 |
| 12 | Qizilqum | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16:26 | 20 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19:27 | 19 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16:25 | 18 |
| 15 | Termez Surkhon | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8:32 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
