Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
8'
8'
Lohan
Assist: Abdukhamidov R.
18'
18'
Sobirkhuzhaev S.
Assist: Resan B.
33'
33'
Ortikboev D.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Xorazm Urganch finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pakhtakor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pakhtakor come out ahead of Xorazm Urganch on wins alone.
- Pakhtakor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Pakhtakor have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Xorazm Urganch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Pakhtakor
0:1
May 25, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
2:1
Apr 18, 2014 Uzbekistan Cup
Xorazm Urganch vs Pakhtakor
0:4
Sep 18, 2010 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Sobirkhuzhaev S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chinedu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Lohan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 95 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Xorazm Urganch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pakhtakor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Pakhtakor scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Xorazm Urganch conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Xorazm Urganch
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
11 Aug
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Al Hussein
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
Page 1 of 3
Xorazm Urganch
(Away) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
