Sport Picks
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
Uzbekistan
Super League Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
9'
9'
Lohan
Assist: Abdukhamidov R.
18'
18'
Sobirkhuzhaev S.
Assist: Resan B.
32'
32'
Ortikboev D.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Pakhtakor and Xorazm Urganch finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pakhtakor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pakhtakor come out ahead of Xorazm Urganch on wins alone.
- Pakhtakor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Pakhtakor have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pakhtakor | Xorazm Urganch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Pakhtakor
0:1
May 25, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
2:1
Apr 18, 2014 Uzbekistan Cup
Xorazm Urganch vs Pakhtakor
0:4
Sep 18, 2010 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Sobirkhuzhaev S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chinedu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Lohan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pakhtakor 95 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pakhtakor Xorazm Urganch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pakhtakor scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Pakhtakor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Xorazm Urganch conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Pakhtakor VS Xorazm Urganch
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pakhtakor
(Home) 21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
17 Jul
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
03 May
Termez Surkhon
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
28 Apr
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
22 Apr
Buxoro
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
17 Jul
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
28 Apr
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Nasaf Qarshi
18 Apr
Pakhtakor
4 : 2 Din. Samarkand
13 Apr
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 4
Xorazm Urganch
(Away) 21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
16 Jul
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
04 May
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 3 Andijan
29 Apr
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
24 Apr
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Pakhtakor
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
16 Jul
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
29 Apr
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
18 Apr
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
07 Apr
Lok. Tashkent
1 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 5 | OKMK | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Bunyodkor | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Nasaf Qarshi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Andijan | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Termez Surkhon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Din. Samarkand | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Xorazm Urganch | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qizilqum | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:30 | 12 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5:21 | 3 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)