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Pakistan U23 vs Japan U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Iwasaki Y.
9' Event
Hatate R.
10' Event
Maeda D.

AI Match Summary

Japan U23 in this Asian Games 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pakistan U23
15%
Draws
85%
Japan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U23 have won more games recently than Pakistan U23.
  • Model gives Japan U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Asian Games 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan U23 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Pakistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakistan U23 Japan U23
Matches Played 20 37
Wins 2 30
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.5 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.7 0.49
Expected Goals (xG) 0.35 3.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Japan U23 vs Pakistan U23
6:0
Aug 16, 2018 Asian Games
Pakistan U23 vs Japan U23
0:4
Nov 29, 2006 Asian Games
Japan U23 vs Pakistan U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pakistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.27
Avg xA / game 0.17

Japan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwasaki Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hatate R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakistan U23 10 / 100
Japan U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakistan U23 Japan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Pakistan U23's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Japan U23 let in goals in 38% of their last 37 matches.

Away concern: Japan U23 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pakistan U23 VS Japan U23
0.33 Goals Scored 3
3.33 Goals Conceded 0.38
33% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakistan U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Oman U23
1 : 0
Pakistan U23
06 Sept
Pakistan U23
0 : 1
Cambodia U23
03 Sept
Iraq U23
8 : 1
Pakistan U23
12 Sept
Palestine U23
2 : 1
Pakistan U23
09 Sept
Pakistan U23
1 : 3
Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 4

Japan U23

(Away)
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 Palestine U23 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Hong Kong U23 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Laos U23 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
5 Chinese Taipei U23 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Bangladesh U23 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
3 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Qatar U23 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Syria U23 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 United Arab Emirates U23 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Iraq U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Timor-Leste U23 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Pakistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 1 1 5:10 4
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
5 United Arab Emirates U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Asian Games 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams