Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paks II vs Erdi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pesti Z.
63' Event
Csepregi B.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Rostas R.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Paks II and Erdi finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Paks II
35%
Draws
52%
Erdi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erdi come out ahead of Paks II on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks II Erdi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2.04 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Paks II
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Erdi
2:3
Aug 31, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Paks II
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Erdi
0:0
Sep 9, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Paks II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pesti Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eger Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nemeth G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks II 34 / 100
Erdi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks II Erdi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paks II scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Erdi has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Paks II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paks II VS Erdi
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks II

(Home)
15 Aug
Paks II
0 : 2
Ivancsa
12 Aug
Paks II
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
08 Aug
Erdi
3 : 1
Paks II
26 Jul
Majosi
2 : 2
Paks II
24 May
Szekszardi
3 : 2
Paks II
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Erdi

(Away)
21 Aug
Erdi
0 : 3
Ivancsa
15 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 1
Erdi
08 Aug
Erdi
3 : 1
Paks II
25 Jul
Erdi
3 : 3
Budaorsi SC
11 Jul
Bicskei
1 : 3
Erdi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)