Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paks vs Ferencvaros

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Kovacevic F. In: Yusuf B.
Out: Kovacevic F.
13'
Papp K.
18' Event
Yusuf B.
Assist: Nagy O.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between Paks and Ferencvaros finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paks
44%
Draws
20%
Ferencvaros
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Paks haven't matched Ferencvaros's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Paks Clean Sheet 17%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks Ferencvaros
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Ferencvaros
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Paks
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Ferencvaros
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Paks
2:2
May 14, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Ferencvaros vs Paks
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Peto M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Szalai J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Botka E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks 36 / 100
Ferencvaros 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks Ferencvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Paks scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Paks stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ferencvaros conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paks VS Ferencvaros
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks

(Home)
26 Jul
Paks
4 : 2
Ferencvaros
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
17 Jul
Austria Vienna
4 : 1
Paks
16 Jul
Paks
5 : 3
Slaven Belupo
14 Jul
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0 : 4
Paks
Page 1 of 7

Ferencvaros

(Away)
26 Jul
Paks
4 : 2
Ferencvaros
23 Jul
Twente
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
16 Jul
Ferencvaros
3 : 0
Vojvodina
09 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 2
Ferencvaros
01 Jul
Ferencvaros
1 : 0
Qarabag Agdam
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MTK Budapest11003:03
2Paks11004:23
3Puskas Academy11002:03
4Nyiregyhaza11002:13
5Gyor10102:21
6Vasas10102:21
7Kisvarda FC10101:11
8Honved10101:11
9Ujpest10011:20
10Ferencvaros10012:40
11Debrecen10010:20
12Zalaegerszegi10010:30
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)