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Paks vs Ferencvaros Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Fehérvári úti stadion, Paks
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Kovacevic F. In: Yusuf B.
Out: Kovacevic F.
13'
Papp K.
18' Event
Yusuf B.
Assist: Nagy O.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between Paks and Ferencvaros finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paks
30%
Draws
37%
Ferencvaros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Paks haven't matched Ferencvaros's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ferencvaros's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Paks Clean Sheet 14%
Ferencvaros Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paks Ferencvaros
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.59 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.85 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Ferencvaros
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Paks
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 NB I.
Paks vs Ferencvaros
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 NB I.
Ferencvaros vs Paks
2:2
May 14, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Ferencvaros vs Paks
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Peto M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Szalai J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ferencvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Botka E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paks 10 / 100
Ferencvaros 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paks Ferencvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferencvaros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paks stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ferencvaros conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paks VS Ferencvaros
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paks

(Home)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
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Ferencvaros

(Away)
20 Sept
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Ferencvaros
17 Sept
Celtic
1 : 3
Ferencvaros
12 Sept
Debreceni EAC
0 : 7
Ferencvaros
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
03 Sept
Gyor
0 : 3
Ferencvaros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)