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Pakwach Young Stars vs Kaaro Karungi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pakwach Young Stars in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pakwach Young Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pakwach Young Stars
15%
Draws
38%
Kaaro Karungi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakwach Young Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pakwach Young Stars haven't matched Kaaro Karungi's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Pakwach Young Stars taking it.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Pakwach Young Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pakwach Young Stars Kaaro Karungi
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Big League
Pakwach Young Stars vs Kaaro Karungi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pakwach Young Stars 58 / 100
Kaaro Karungi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pakwach Young Stars Kaaro Karungi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakwach Young Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pakwach Young Stars scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Kaaro Karungi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Pakwach Young Stars stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pakwach Young Stars VS Kaaro Karungi
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pakwach Young Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
3 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
13 Apr
Pajule Lions
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
07 Mar
Dove
0 : 1
Pakwach Young Stars

Kaaro Karungi

(Away)
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
04 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
3 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
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