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Palencia CA vs Bembibre

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Gutierrez C.
65' Event
Sanchez R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Palencia CA and Bembibre finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Palencia CA
35%
Draws
37%
Bembibre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palencia CA come out ahead of Bembibre on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 17%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Bembibre
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Bembibre
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Bembibre
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Palencia CA
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Palencia CA
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Bembibre
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palencia CA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bembibre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 36 / 100
Bembibre 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Bembibre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bembibre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Bembibre let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Palencia CA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS Bembibre
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Palencia CA
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Palencia CF
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Bembibre

(Away)
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1
Bembibre
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)