Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palencia CA vs Burgos CF II

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palencia CA in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palencia CA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Palencia CA
35%
Draws
13%
Burgos CF II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palencia CA lately — more wins on the board than Burgos CF II.
  • Model gives Palencia CA a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 20%
Burgos CF II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Burgos CF II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Burgos CF II
1:0
Dec 22, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF II vs Palencia CA
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 76 / 100
Burgos CF II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Burgos CF II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Burgos CF II has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Palencia CA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Burgos CF II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
Page 1 of 7

Burgos CF II

(Away)
18 May
Burgos CF II
2 : 2
Numancia B
10 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Burgos CF II
03 May
Burgos CF II
0 : 2
Norma
27 Apr
Mirandes
3 : 0
Burgos CF II
23 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 3
Burgos CF II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirandes 38 29 8 1 82:20 95
2 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 21 11 6 75:28 74
3 Real Avila 38 20 12 6 70:33 72
4 Arandina 38 18 9 11 54:38 63
5 Bembibre 38 17 10 11 40:31 61
6 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 16 10 12 60:50 58
7 Norma 38 14 13 11 40:41 55
8 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 15 10 44:36 54
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 45:51 53
10 Santa Marta Tormes 38 14 9 15 43:46 51
11 Almazan 38 14 9 15 49:53 51
12 CD Iscar 38 12 12 14 45:45 48
13 Leonesa B 38 14 6 18 46:56 48
14 La Granja 38 11 10 17 42:45 43
15 Becerril 38 9 13 16 44:57 40
16 Ponferradina B 38 10 9 19 40:64 39
17 CD Laguna 38 8 14 16 36:57 38
18 Palencia CA 38 10 7 21 39:66 37
19 Burgos CF II 38 7 16 15 33:50 37
20 SD Hullera Vasco-Leonesa 38 5 4 29 21:81 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)