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Palencia CA vs CD Aguilar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 game between Palencia CA and CD Aguilar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Aguilar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Palencia CA
17%
Draws
13%
CD Aguilar
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palencia CA come out ahead of CD Aguilar on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Palencia CA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 20%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA CD Aguilar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs CD Aguilar
3:3
Jan 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Palencia CA
1:1
Apr 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs CD Aguilar
0:1
Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Palencia CA
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 67 / 100
CD Aguilar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA CD Aguilar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PCA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

CD Aguilar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Palencia CA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Palencia CF
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0
Palencia CA
10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2
Palencia CA
02 May
Palencia CA
0 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Apr
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 7

CD Aguilar

(Away)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 25 9 4 75:23 84
2 Villaralbo 38 25 8 5 83:36 83
3 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Arandina 38 23 9 6 61:26 78
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 20 9 9 67:25 69
6 Almazan 38 14 13 11 55:51 55
7 Real Avila 38 14 13 11 48:44 55
8 CD Iscar 38 15 8 15 48:62 53
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 58:49 53
10 Bembibre 38 15 7 16 56:46 52
11 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 12 13 30:37 51
12 Atletico Astorga 38 12 14 12 39:44 50
13 CD Aguilar 38 13 9 16 41:60 48
14 Ponferradina B 38 11 9 18 45:49 42
15 Palencia CA 38 9 11 18 27:43 38
16 Atletico Tordesillas 38 9 8 21 33:65 35
17 Racing Lermeno 38 7 11 20 29:61 32
18 CD Cebrerena 38 8 6 24 42:92 30
19 Santa Marta Tormes 38 6 11 21 36:68 29
20 CF Venta de Banos 38 6 7 25 30:64 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)