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Palencia CA vs Palencia CF Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Caperuchipi D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Palencia CA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Palencia CA
20%
Draws
42%
Palencia CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palencia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Palencia CA haven't matched Palencia CF's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Palencia CF arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palencia CF, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 18%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CA Palencia CF
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Palencia CF
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Palencia CA
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Palencia CA
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Palencia CF
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Palencia CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CA 32 / 100
Palencia CF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CA Palencia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CA found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Palencia CF has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Palencia CA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CA VS Palencia CF
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CA

(Home)
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
Page 1 of 6

Palencia CF

(Away)
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Guijuelo 3
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Palencia CA 1
Palencia CF 2
Final
Guijuelo 4
Palencia CF 4