Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Canario
46'
46'
Aparicio Cano S.
74'
74'
Weston Storlie K.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Palencia CF and Becerril finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Palencia CF come out ahead of Becerril on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Palencia CF taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 68%
Becerril Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CF | Becerril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Becerril
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Palencia CF
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Becerril
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Palencia CF
1:3
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Becerril
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Canario
1 Goals Assists Leader Aparicio Cano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Becerril Compare
Top Goalscorer Montenegro Olivar R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CF 95 / 100
Becerril 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CF Becerril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palencia CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Palencia CF scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Becerril let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Palencia CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CF VS Becerril
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CF
(Home) 08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1 Palencia CF
07 Jun
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Palencia CF
31 May
Palencia CF
2 : 3 Guijuelo
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
Page 1 of 7
31 May
Palencia CF
2 : 3 Guijuelo
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
25 Apr
Palencia CF
3 : 2 La Virgen
11 Apr
Palencia CF
1 : 2 Atletico Tordesillas
Page 1 of 3
Becerril
(Away) 10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1 Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2 Mansilles
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1 Becerril
03 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 1 Becerril
22 Mar
Palencia CA
1 : 1 Becerril
07 Mar
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 5 Becerril
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
