Sport Picks
Palencia CF vs Bembibre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Arias M.
45'
45'
Comendez I.
55'
55'
Robles M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Palencia CF and Bembibre finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bembibre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Palencia CF carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Palencia CF have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 20%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CF | Bembibre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Bembibre
4:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Palencia CF
1:4
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Palencia CF
0:3
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Bembibre
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Bembibre
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Comendez I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Robles M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bembibre Compare
Top Goalscorer Arias M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CF 32 / 100
Bembibre 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CF Bembibre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Palencia CF scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Defensive concern: Bembibre conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Palencia CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CF VS Bembibre
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CF
(Home) 03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2 Palencia CF
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
31 May
Palencia CF
2 : 3 Guijuelo
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
Page 1 of 3
Bembibre
(Away) 04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0 La Virgen
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2 Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1 Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Bembibre
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
18 Apr
Mirandes B
2 : 2 Bembibre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
