Sport Picks
Palencia CF vs Colegios Diocesanos
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Vallecillo D.
9'
9'
Canario
76'
76'
Jimenez H.
AI Match Summary
Palencia CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palencia CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palencia CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Palencia CF lately — more wins on the board than Colegios Diocesanos.
- Palencia CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Palencia CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 68%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CF | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF
1:2
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:0
Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Vallecillo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Canario
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Colegios Diocesanos Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CF 95 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CF Colegios Diocesanos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Palencia CF scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Colegios Diocesanos has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Palencia CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CF VS Colegios Diocesanos
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CF
(Home) 07 Jun
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Palencia CF
31 May
Palencia CF
2 : 3 Guijuelo
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Palencia CF
2 : 3 Guijuelo
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
25 Apr
Palencia CF
3 : 2 La Virgen
11 Apr
Palencia CF
1 : 2 Atletico Tordesillas
Page 1 of 3
Colegios Diocesanos
(Away) 10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2 Palencia CA
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
25 Apr
Colegios Diocesanos
3 : 1 Mirandes B
19 Apr
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca B
12 Apr
Guijuelo
4 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
12 Apr
Guijuelo
4 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
02 Apr
Numancia B
6 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
28 Mar
CD Mojados
0 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
14 Mar
Palencia CF
2 : 1 Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)