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Palencia CF vs Leonesa B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Choco A.

AI Match Summary

Leonesa B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Palencia CF
20%
Draws
47%
Leonesa B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leonesa B haven't matched Palencia CF's recent run of results.
  • Palencia CF are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palencia CF Leonesa B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Leonesa B
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Palencia CF
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Leonesa B
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Leonesa B
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Palencia CF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palencia CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Choco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palencia CF 36 / 100
Leonesa B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palencia CF Leonesa B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CF's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leonesa B conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Palencia CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palencia CF VS Leonesa B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palencia CF

(Home)
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa B

(Away)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)