Sport Picks
Palencia CF vs Santa Marta Tormes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 
Match Events
33'
33'
Canario
44'
44'
Rios S.
76'
76'
Vallecillo D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Palencia CF and Santa Marta Tormes finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Marta Tormes haven't matched Palencia CF's recent run of results.
- Palencia CF are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palencia CF | Santa Marta Tormes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Santa Marta Tormes
3:0
May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CF
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CF
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Canario
1 Goals Assists Leader Rios S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palencia CF 36 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palencia CF Santa Marta Tormes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Palencia CF scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Santa Marta Tormes conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Palencia CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Palencia CF VS Santa Marta Tormes
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Palencia CF
(Home) 03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2 Palencia CF
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
31 May
Palencia CF
2 : 3 Guijuelo
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
Page 1 of 3
Santa Marta Tormes
(Away) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
19 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
08 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos CF B | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Santa Marta Tormes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Mansilles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Bembibre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Palencia CA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Leonesa B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 10 |
| 7 | La Virgen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Almazan | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Turegano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 17 | Mirandes B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)
