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Palermo vs Carrarese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palermo host Carrarese in the Serie B. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Palermo have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Carrarese's 0.97 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Palermo slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.81, favoring Palermo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Palermo
20%
Draws
19%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palermo come out ahead of Carrarese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Palermo a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Palermo Clean Sheet 20%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Carrarese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Palermo
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Carrarese
5:0
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Carrarese
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Serie B
Carrarese vs Palermo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 85 / 100
Carrarese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Palermo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Carrarese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Carrarese
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Carrarese

(Away)
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)