Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Cesena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
Assist: Le Douaron J.
41'
Cerri A.
71' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
Assist: Modesto R.

AI Match Summary

Palermo in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Palermo
6%
Draws
4%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cesena haven't matched Palermo's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Palermo Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Cesena
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Cesena
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Palermo
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Palermo
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Cesena
0:0
May 12, 2018 Serie B
Palermo vs Cesena
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pohjanpalo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Cesena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 85 / 100
Cesena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palermo scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Cesena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Palermo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Cesena
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
21 Jul
Cesena
5 : 0
SSD Sampierana
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)