Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palermo vs Cesena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
Assist: Le Douaron J.
41'
Cerri A.
71' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
Assist: Modesto R.

AI Match Summary

Palermo in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Palermo
35%
Draws
23%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Cesena haven't matched Palermo's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Palermo Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palermo Cesena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Cesena
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Palermo
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Palermo
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Cesena
0:0
May 12, 2018 Serie B
Palermo vs Cesena
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pohjanpalo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cesena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palermo 85 / 100
Cesena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palermo Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palermo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Palermo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cesena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Palermo VS Cesena
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palermo

(Home)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)