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Palestine vs Tunisia

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Layouni A.
22'
Sawafta A.
35'
Sassi F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Palestine
35%
Draws
0%
Tunisia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palestine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Tunisia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Palestine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Tunisia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Palestine Clean Sheet 68%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestine Tunisia
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.74 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Palestine vs Tunisia
2:2
Nov 18, 2009 Friendly International
Palestine vs Tunisia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestine Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamdan H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qunbar Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Tunisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Layouni A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chaouat F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestine 95 / 100
Tunisia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestine Tunisia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Tunisia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tunisia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Palestine has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palestine VS Tunisia
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palestine

(Home)
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
11 Dec
Palestine
1 : 2
Saudi Arabia
07 Dec
Syria
0 : 0
Palestine
04 Dec
Palestine
2 : 2
Tunisia
Page 1 of 5

Tunisia

(Away)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)