Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palestino vs Deportes Santa Cruz

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Cavero H. In: Camisassa B.
Out: Cavero H.
29'
Ceza Gavilan A. A.
33'
Camisassa B.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Chile game between Palestino and Deportes Santa Cruz finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palestino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Palestino
39%
Draws
31%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Palestino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Chile fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Palestino Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palestino Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa Chile
Palestino vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:2
Jun 27, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Palestino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestino Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Silva N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrera H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestino 31 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palestino Deportes Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palestino scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Deportes Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Palestino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palestino VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica650114:915
2Everton622210:98
3San Luis613211:106
4Copiapo61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta651012:516
2Cobreloa62227:68
3La Serena62137:107
4Cobresal60242:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz641111:613
2A. Italiano64029:712
3Palestino631212:910
4Magallanes60065:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Concepcion641110:613
2D. Puerto Montt63128:610
3Huachipato62047:96
4Deportes Temuco61234:85