Sport Picks

Palestino vs Magallanes Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile

Palestino

4 - 1

Magallanes

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Tapia Paez G.

40'

Espinoza Hevia V. A.

44'

Gomez A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Palestino

20%

Draws

38%

Magallanes

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Palestino come out ahead of Magallanes on wins alone.
Palestino are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Palestino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Palestino, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Palestino here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Palestino Clean Sheet 14%

Magallanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Palestino	Magallanes
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	14	11
Draws	5	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa Chile

Magallanes vs Palestino

1:2

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile

Palestino vs Magallanes

4:1

Sep 3, 2023 Liga de Primera

Magallanes vs Palestino

2:0

Apr 1, 2023 Liga de Primera

Palestino vs Magallanes

3:2

Oct 15, 2014 Copa Chile

Palestino vs Magallanes

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palestino Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia Paez G.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Magallanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palestino 39 / 100

Magallanes 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Palestino Magallanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestino Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Palestino scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Palestino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palestino VS Magallanes

1.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Palestino

(Home)

01 Oct

A. Lima

1 : 2

Palestino

12 Sept

Palestino

2 : 3

U. Catolica

06 Sept

Palestino

2 : 1

U. De Concepcion

28 Aug

Cobresal

2 : 0

Palestino

23 Aug

O Higgins

0 : 1

Palestino

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Magallanes

(Away)

13 Sept

Magallanes

2 : 0

D. Puerto Montt

09 Sept

Copiapo

1 : 1

Magallanes

05 Sept

Magallanes

0 : 0

San Felipe

29 Aug

S. Wanderers

2 : 1

Magallanes

22 Aug

Magallanes

1 : 0

Deportes Santa Cruz

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