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Palmas vs Araguacema

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2022
Palmas Logo

Palmas

1 - 1
FT
Araguacema Logo

Araguacema

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 game between Palmas and Araguacema finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Palmas
30%
Draws
41%
Araguacema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araguacema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Araguacema haven't matched Palmas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Araguacema a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Palmas Clean Sheet 23%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Araguacema
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Araguacema
1:1
Apr 1, 2021 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Araguacema
5:1
Feb 5, 2021 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Araguacema
0:0
Mar 15, 2020 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Palmas
0:1
Feb 2, 2020 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Palmas
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 13 / 100
Araguacema 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Araguacema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguacema Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmas's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Araguacema has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Palmas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Araguacema
3 Goals Scored 1.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Araguacema

(Away)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 9 7 1 1 28:8 22
2 Capital FC 9 6 2 1 16:6 20
3 Interporto 9 5 4 0 16:5 19
4 Uniao Carmolandense 9 5 3 1 11:8 18
5 Bela Vista-TO 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
6 Palmas 9 2 3 4 16:11 9
7 Nova Conquista 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Araguacema 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
9 Gurupi 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Tocantins 9 0 1 8 4:41 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 (Play Offs)