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Palmas vs Araguaia (TO) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Palmas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Palmas
20%
Draws
51%
Araguaia (TO)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araguaia (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Araguaia (TO) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Palmas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Araguaia (TO)
Matches Played 36 18
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Palmas vs Araguaia (TO)
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs Palmas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 10 / 100
Araguaia (TO) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Araguaia (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaia (TO) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmas scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Araguaia (TO) has conceded goals in 72% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Palmas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Araguaia (TO)
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
Page 1 of 8

Araguaia (TO)

(Away)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
12 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
15 Nov
Palmas
4 : 0
Araguaia (TO)
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guarai SC 6
Interporto 2
Alvorada 4
Paraiso EC 2
Palmas 5
Araguaia (TO) 0
Central Tocantinense 4
Uniao de Palmas 5
Semi-finals
Guarai SC 6
Alvorada 5
Palmas 10
Uniao de Palmas 1
Final
Guarai SC 2
Palmas 4