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Palmas vs Colinas

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 game between Palmas and Colinas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colinas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Palmas
30%
Draws
12%
Colinas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Colinas haven't matched Palmas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Palmas a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Colinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Colinas
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.61 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 3.67 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2014 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Colinas
5:1
Mar 22, 2014 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Palmas
2:2
May 5, 2013 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Colinas
0:0
Mar 23, 2013 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Palmas
2:2
Apr 28, 2012 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Palmas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 85 / 100
Colinas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Colinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Palmas found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Colinas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Palmas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Colinas
3 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 4.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Colinas

(Away)
02 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
8 : 0
Colinas
26 Oct
Colinas
0 : 5
Guarai SC
19 Oct
Araguacema
7 : 1
Colinas
12 Oct
SD Sparta
6 : 0
Colinas
15 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Colinas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gurupi 7 5 1 1 16:6 16
2 Tocantinopolis 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 Guarai SC 7 4 3 0 13:7 15
4 Interporto 7 4 1 2 17:9 13
5 Colinas 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Paraiso EC 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
7 Tocantins 7 2 0 5 7:16 6
8 Palmas 7 0 0 7 6:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 (First stage - Play Offs)