Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmas vs Guarai SC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 game between Palmas and Guarai SC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Palmas
22%
Draws
18%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Palmas a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Guarai SC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Palmas
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Palmas
1:3
Dec 3, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Palmas vs Guarai SC
1:1
Apr 18, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Palmas
2:3
Mar 14, 2015 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Guarai SC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 58 / 100
Guarai SC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Guarai SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarai SC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Palmas scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Palmas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Guarai SC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gurupi1481521:1425
2Tocantinopolis1473430:1924
3Palmas1466231:2324
4Interporto1464418:1122
5Tocantins1454523:2119
6Araguaina1454518:2119
7Colinas1426619:3412
8Guarai SC1414911:287