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Palmas vs Guarai SC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Palmas Logo

Palmas

4 - 0
FT
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 game between Palmas and Guarai SC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Palmas
35%
Draws
40%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guarai SC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Guarai SC
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.61 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Palmas
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Palmas
1:3
Dec 3, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Palmas vs Guarai SC
1:1
Apr 18, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Palmas
2:3
Mar 14, 2015 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Guarai SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 10 / 100
Guarai SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmas found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Guarai SC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Palmas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Guarai SC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Guarai SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gurupi 14 8 1 5 21:14 25
2 Tocantinopolis 14 7 3 4 30:19 24
3 Palmas 14 6 6 2 31:23 24
4 Interporto 14 6 4 4 18:11 22
5 Tocantins 14 5 4 5 23:21 19
6 Araguaina 14 5 4 5 18:21 19
7 Colinas 14 2 6 6 19:34 12
8 Guarai SC 14 1 4 9 11:28 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)