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Palmas vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Palmas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Palmas
30%
Draws
41%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gurupi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Palmas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gurupi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Gurupi
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Gurupi
0:3
Mar 1, 2022 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:3
Mar 3, 2021 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:5
Jun 20, 2018 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Gurupi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 16 / 100
Gurupi 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Palmas's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Gurupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Palmas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Gurupi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gurupi 3
Interporto 2
Palmas 2
Tocantinopolis 0
Final
Gurupi 3
Palmas 4