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Palmas vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Palmas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Palmas
17%
Draws
70%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Palmas's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Gurupi have produced (1.25).
  • Gurupi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gurupi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmas Gurupi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Gurupi
0:3
Mar 1, 2022 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:3
Mar 3, 2021 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:5
Jun 20, 2018 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Gurupi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmas 16 / 100
Gurupi 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmas Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Palmas's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gurupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Palmas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmas VS Gurupi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmas

(Home)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gurupi3
Interporto2
Palmas2
Tocantinopolis0
Final
Gurupi3
Palmas4