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Palmeira da Una vs Baraunas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmeira da Una host Baraunas in the Potiguar 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Baraunas have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Palmeira da Una have conceded 1.93 and scored 0.82. Head-to-head, Palmeira da Una have won 0 to Baraunas's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2016, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.02 xG vs 0.99) point toward Baraunas. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Palmeira da Una
15%
Draws
59%
Baraunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baraunas lately — more wins on the board than Palmeira da Una.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Potiguar 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Palmeira da Una Clean Sheet 20%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeira da Una Baraunas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.82 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2016 Potiguar
Palmeira da Una vs Baraunas
0:2
Feb 10, 2016 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Palmeira da Una
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeira da Una 36 / 100
Baraunas 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeira da Una Baraunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baraunas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Baraunas conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Palmeira da Una found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Palmeira da Una stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Palmeira da Una VS Baraunas
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
33% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeira da Una

(Home)
07 Oct
Mossoro
0 : 2
Palmeira da Una
27 May
Palmeira da Una
0 : 2
Santa Cruz de Natal
22 May
Palmeira da Una
3 : 4
Potiguar de Mossoró
19 May
America RN
0 : 0
Palmeira da Una
16 May
Palmeira da Una
0 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
Page 1 of 6

Baraunas

(Away)
07 Oct
Visao Celeste
0 : 2
Baraunas
23 Nov
QFC
2 : 1
Baraunas
18 Nov
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Baraunas
09 Nov
Baraunas
3 : 1
Mossoro
02 Nov
Baraunas
1 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baraunas 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Palmeira da Una 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Alecrim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Visao Celeste 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Mossoro 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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