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Palmeiras U17 vs Atletico-MG U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Atletico-MG U17 go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Palmeiras U17 at 3.07 goals for, 1.34 against; Atletico-MG U17 at 2.25 for, 1.16 against. Past meetings favor Palmeiras U17 slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Atletico-MG U17. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Palmeiras U17
15%
Draws
54%
Atletico-MG U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeiras U17 have won more games recently than Atletico-MG U17.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Atletico-MG U17 taking it.
  • Palmeiras U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras U17, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Palmeiras U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras U17 Atletico-MG U17
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 21 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 3.07 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Atletico-MG U17 vs Palmeiras U17
3:0
Jun 23, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Atletico-MG U17 vs Palmeiras U17
3:4
May 14, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Atletico-MG U17 vs Palmeiras U17
2:0
Jul 11, 2024 Brasileiro U17
Palmeiras U17 vs Atletico-MG U17
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras U17 20 / 100
Atletico-MG U17 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras U17 Atletico-MG U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Palmeiras U17 scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico-MG U17 let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Palmeiras U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras U17 VS Atletico-MG U17
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras U17

(Home)
07 Oct
Atletico-MG U17
3 : 0
Palmeiras U17
30 Sept
Palmeiras U17
5 : 0
Vasco U17
22 Sept
Sao Paulo U17
2 : 1
Palmeiras U17
15 Sept
Palmeiras U17
3 : 3
Bragantino U17
09 Sept
Gremio U17
1 : 2
Palmeiras U17
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Atletico-MG U17

(Away)
07 Oct
Atletico-MG U17
3 : 0
Palmeiras U17
30 Sept
Atletico-MG U17
4 : 1
EC Juventude U17
22 Sept
Internacional U17
0 : 1
Atletico-MG U17
16 Sept
Corinthians U17
2 : 1
Atletico-MG U17
09 Sept
Atletico-MG U17
3 : 0
Vitoria U17
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U17 0
Atletico-MG U17 3
Fluminense U17 0
Cruzeiro U17 2
Corinthians U17 0
Flamengo RJ U17 1
Bragantino U17 0
Fortaleza U17 1
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -