Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Palmeiras vs Athletico-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gomez G.
23'
Portilla J.
30'
Murilo

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Palmeiras
33%
Draws
27%
Athletico-PR
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Athletico-PR.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Palmeiras taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras Athletico-PR
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Athletico-PR
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras
0:2
May 12, 2024 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Athletico-PR
0:2
Nov 5, 2023 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Athletico-PR
1:0
Jul 2, 2023 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Athletico-PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 50 / 100
Athletico-PR 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras Athletico-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Athletico-PR has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Palmeiras has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Athletico-PR
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras

(Home)
30 Jul
Vitoria
0 : 4
Palmeiras
26 Jul
Palmeiras
1 : 2
Atletico-MG
22 Jul
Coritiba
1 : 3
Palmeiras
31 May
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
28 May
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Junior
Page 1 of 6

Athletico-PR

(Away)
30 Jul
Corinthians
0 : 0
Athletico-PR
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Internacional
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1
Athletico-PR
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras21145238:1647
2Flamengo RJ20116337:1839
3Athletico-PR21114628:1937
4Fluminense2197530:2534
5Bahia2188529:2532
6Bragantino2094726:2031
7Cruzeiro2186727:3030
8Botafogo RJ2085734:3229
9Corinthians2178622:2029
10Atletico-MG2084825:2528
11Coritiba2176825:2827
12Sao Paulo2075825:2326
13Vitoria2175922:3126
14Mirassol2065923:2723
15Santos2057829:3322
16Internacional2157923:2722
17Gremio2057822:2622
18Vasco2056923:3121
19Remo21561024:3421
20Chapecoense-SC20171219:4110
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)