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Palmeiras vs Bragantino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Barueri, Barueri
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras host Bragantino in the Serie A Betano. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Palmeiras at 1.81 goals for, 0.71 against; Bragantino at 1.21 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Palmeiras slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.63, favoring Palmeiras. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Palmeiras
35%
Draws
10%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeiras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Palmeiras are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 20%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Palmeiras Bragantino
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Palmeiras
0:1
Oct 15, 2025 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Bragantino
5:1
May 18, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Palmeiras
1:2
Jan 28, 2025 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Bragantino
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Palmeiras
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Palmeiras 76 / 100
Bragantino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Palmeiras Bragantino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmeiras scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Palmeiras stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bragantino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Palmeiras VS Bragantino
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Palmeiras

(Home)
11 Oct
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Corinthians
09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0
Bahia
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
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Bragantino

(Away)
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1
Mirassol
03 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0
Bragantino
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 30 19 7 4 58:25 64
2 Palmeiras 30 18 9 3 52:22 63
3 Fluminense 30 14 9 7 48:37 51
4 Athletico-PR 29 14 8 7 45:34 50
5 Bahia 30 13 10 7 44:36 49
6 Cruzeiro 29 14 6 9 44:40 48
7 Atletico-MG 30 13 8 9 41:35 47
8 Santos 30 11 9 10 46:45 42
9 Sao Paulo 30 11 6 13 35:35 39
10 Coritiba 29 10 8 11 37:47 38
11 Bragantino 29 10 7 12 34:33 37
12 Vitoria 30 10 6 14 33:44 36
13 Botafogo RJ 29 9 8 12 42:47 35
14 Vasco 29 9 8 12 36:42 35
15 Mirassol 30 8 9 13 34:44 33
16 Corinthians 30 8 8 14 31:38 32
17 Internacional 30 7 11 12 33:38 32
18 Gremio 30 7 10 13 32:40 31
19 Remo 30 5 10 15 33:48 25
20 Chapecoense-SC 28 3 9 16 29:57 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)