Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paloma vs Elmshorn

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2014/2015
Sun, May 17, 2015
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paloma host Elmshorn in the Oberliga Hamburg 2014/2015. Paloma are expected to control this from the start. Elmshorn have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Paloma have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Paloma slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2015, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.06, favoring Paloma. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Paloma
20%
Draws
38%
Elmshorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paloma come out ahead of Elmshorn on wins alone.
  • Paloma are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Paloma Clean Sheet 20%
Elmshorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paloma Elmshorn
Matches Played 40 15
Wins 24 0
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Elmshorn
0:0
Nov 14, 2014 Oberliga Hamburg
Elmshorn vs Paloma
0:4
May 14, 2013 Oberliga Hamburg
Elmshorn vs Paloma
0:0
Sep 30, 2012 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Elmshorn
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paloma 42 / 100
Elmshorn 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paloma Elmshorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paloma scored in 93% of their last 40 games.

Elmshorn has conceded goals in 100% of their last 15 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Away concern: Elmshorn has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paloma VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paloma

(Home)
04 Jul
Todesfelde
2 : 1
Paloma
15 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0 : 6
Paloma
09 May
TSV Buchholz 08
4 : 0
Paloma
05 May
Paloma
2 : 3
Suderelbe
03 May
Paloma
2 : 2
Sasel
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Elmshorn

(Away)
05 Dec
Elmshorn
0 : 2
Niendorfer TSV
30 Nov
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1
Elmshorn
22 Nov
Meiendorfer SV
3 : 1
Elmshorn
14 Nov
Elmshorn
0 : 4
Paloma
07 Nov
Elmshorn
0 : 1
Halstenbek-Rellingen
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