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Pamba vs Coastal Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pamba host Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Coastal Union have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Pamba have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Coastal Union slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 30, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Coastal Union. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pamba
20%
Draws
51%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coastal Union lately — more wins on the board than Pamba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pamba Clean Sheet 17%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamba Coastal Union
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Coastal Union
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Coastal Union
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Pamba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 30 / 100
Coastal Union 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamba Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Coastal Union conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Pamba scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pamba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS Coastal Union
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamba

(Home)
29 Oct
Pamba
0 : 1
Singida Black Stars
23 Oct
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1
Pamba
16 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 1
Pamba
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
Page 1 of 6

Coastal Union

(Away)
28 Oct
Coastal Union
1 : 0
Kagera Sugar
24 Oct
Namungo
2 : 1
Coastal Union
12 Oct
Coastal Union
1 : 0
Singida Black Stars
09 Oct
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 9 9 0 0 20:4 27
2 Young Africans 9 7 1 1 19:5 22
3 Azam 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
4 JKT Tanzania 10 5 2 3 12:12 17
5 Dodoma Jiji 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Namungo 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
7 Singida Black Stars 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
8 Coastal Union 10 4 1 5 9:13 13
9 Polisi Tanzania 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
10 Mashujaa 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
11 Mbeya City 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 10 2 3 5 11:17 9
13 TRA United 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
14 Pamba 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
15 Kagera Sugar 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
16 Fountain Gate 10 1 3 6 5:14 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)