Sport Picks

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Pamba vs JKT Tanzania

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 CCM Kirumba Stadium, Mwanza
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
8' Event
69'

AI Match Summary

JKT Tanzania in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored JKT Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pamba
15%
Draws
85%
JKT Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • JKT Tanzania have won more games recently than Pamba.
  • JKT Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and JKT Tanzania have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Pamba Clean Sheet 22%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamba JKT Tanzania
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Pamba
3:0
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs JKT Tanzania
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Pamba
3:0
Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs JKT Tanzania
1:0
Apr 14, 2025 Federation Cup
JKT Tanzania vs Pamba
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 24 / 100
JKT Tanzania 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamba JKT Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JKT Tanzania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: JKT Tanzania conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: JKT Tanzania registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS JKT Tanzania
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamba

(Home)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
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JKT Tanzania

(Away)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)