Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara CCM Kirumba Stadium

Pamba

0 - 2

Mbeya City

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Ambokile E.

74'

Ambokile E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Pamba and Mbeya City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mbeya City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Pamba

20%

Draws

38%

Mbeya City

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Pamba carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Pamba a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Pamba Clean Sheet 20%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pamba	Mbeya City
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	8	9
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Mbeya City

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Jan 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Pamba

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambokile E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 42 / 100

Mbeya City 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pamba Mbeya City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mbeya City conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pamba stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS Mbeya City

1.13 Goals Scored 0.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9