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Pamba vs Simba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara CCM Kirumba Stadium, Mwanza
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Oyugi Siwa S.
18' Event
Chama C.
32' Event
Oura A. A.
Assist: Gueye L.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Pamba and Simba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pamba
20%
Draws
60%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Pamba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Simba a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamba Simba
Matches Played 33 40
Wins 7 32
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Simba
1:2
Jun 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Pamba
2:1
Mar 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Simba
1:1
May 8, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Pamba
5:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Simba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oura A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamba 10 / 100
Simba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamba Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Pamba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Simba has conceded goals in 38% of their last 40 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pamba VS Simba
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamba

(Home)
29 Oct
Pamba
0 : 1
Singida Black Stars
23 Oct
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1
Pamba
16 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 1
Pamba
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Simba

(Away)
29 Oct
Fountain Gate
0 : 1
Simba
25 Oct
Simba
3 : 0
15 de Agosto
21 Oct
15 de Agosto
1 : 6
Simba
13 Oct
Simba
6 : 1
Mashujaa
10 Oct
Simba
2 : 1
Young Africans
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 9 9 0 0 20:4 27
2 Young Africans 9 7 1 1 19:5 22
3 Azam 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
4 JKT Tanzania 10 5 2 3 12:12 17
5 Dodoma Jiji 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Namungo 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
7 Singida Black Stars 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
8 Coastal Union 10 4 1 5 9:13 13
9 Polisi Tanzania 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
10 Mashujaa 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
11 Mbeya City 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 10 2 3 5 11:17 9
13 TRA United 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
14 Pamba 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
15 Kagera Sugar 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
16 Fountain Gate 10 1 3 6 5:14 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)