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Pamplemousses vs PAS Mates

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Pamplemousses Logo

Pamplemousses

1 - 0
FT
PAS Mates Logo

PAS Mates

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pamplemousses in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamplemousses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Pamplemousses
30%
Draws
12%
PAS Mates
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pamplemousses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplemousses lately — more wins on the board than PAS Mates.
  • Model gives Pamplemousses a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pamplemousses have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pamplemousses Clean Sheet 20%
PAS Mates Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplemousses PAS Mates
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.7 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Pamplemousses vs PAS Mates
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Pamplemousses
1:4
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Pamplemousses vs PAS Mates
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super League
PAS Mates vs Pamplemousses
0:1
Mar 25, 2012 Super League
Pamplemousses vs PAS Mates
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplemousses 85 / 100
PAS Mates 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplemousses PAS Mates

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplemousses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplemousses scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

PAS Mates let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pamplemousses went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamplemousses VS PAS Mates
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplemousses

(Home)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
23 Apr
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
0 : 2
Pamplemousses
18 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 0
Port Louis
15 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 0
Pamplemousses
15 Mar
Pamplemousses
3 : 2
Cercle De Joachim
Page 1 of 6

PAS Mates

(Away)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
19 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 1
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)