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Pamplona vs AD San Juan

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pamplona play AD San Juan in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pamplona averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. AD San Juan averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Pamplona won 2, AD San Juan won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Pamplona and 0.76 for AD San Juan. This points to a Pamplona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
24%
AD San Juan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pamplona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Pamplona picked up more points recently compared to AD San Juan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 27%
AD San Juan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona AD San Juan
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 22 10
Draws 10 15
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs AD San Juan
1:1
May 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Pamplona
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Pamplona
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs AD San Juan
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs AD San Juan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahugo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

AD San Juan Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 42 / 100
AD San Juan 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona AD San Juan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pamplona or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pamplona attacking → ← attacking AD San Juan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

AD San Juan let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Pamplona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AD San Juan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 45
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13