Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Mahugo M.
56'
56'
Diaz M.
74'
74'
Saralegui M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Pamplona and Aoiz finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aoiz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pamplona come out ahead of Aoiz on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 27%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pamplona | Aoiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.30 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
1:1
Mar 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
2:2
Nov 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pamplona
1:2
Feb 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Aoiz
1:1
Oct 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Pamplona
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pamplona Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahugo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saralegui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65
Aoiz Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pamplona 38 / 100
Aoiz 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pamplona Aoiz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aoiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pamplona's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Aoiz let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Pamplona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pamplona VS Aoiz
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Pamplona
(Home) 19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1 Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0 Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1 Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1 Pamplona
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1 Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1 Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1 Izarra
23 May
Pamplona
1 : 1 AD San Juan
Page 1 of 4
Aoiz
(Away) 18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0 Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0 Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1 Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4 Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3 Aoiz
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0 Aoiz
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1 Aoiz
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3 Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0 Aoiz
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0 Aoiz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pena | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 65:39 | 77 |
| 2 | Pamplona | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 65:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Izarra | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 64:31 | 61 |
| 4 | Subiza | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46:31 | 54 |
| 5 | AD San Juan | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 43:28 | 52 |
| 6 | Huarte | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 7 | Beti Kozkor | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Ezcabarte | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 9 | Cortes | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 37:51 | 44 |
| 10 | Cirbonero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:67 | 43 |
| 12 | Valle Egues | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:57 | 42 |
| 13 | Bidezarra | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:40 | 39 |
| 14 | Aoiz | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41:49 | 36 |
| 15 | CD Beti Onak | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:55 | 36 |
| 16 | CD Ardoi | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 46:56 | 36 |
| 17 | Oberena | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32:61 | 31 |
| 18 | CA Artajones | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36:61 | 31 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
