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Pamplona vs Cirbonero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gil Etxabarri I.
20' Event
Saralegui M.
61' Event
Jimenez L. L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Pamplona and Cirbonero finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
22%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pamplona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Cirbonero haven't matched Pamplona's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pamplona a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 68%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Cirbonero
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.7 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Cirbonero
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Pamplona
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Cirbonero
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Pamplona
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Cirbonero
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Etxabarri I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saralegui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Cirbonero Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez L. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 95 / 100
Cirbonero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Cirbonero has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Pamplona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS Cirbonero
1.5 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
03 Oct
Pamplona
0 : 0
Huarte
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
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Cirbonero

(Away)
04 Oct
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Mutilvera
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)