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Pamplona vs Huarte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Gil Etxabarri I.

AI Match Summary

Pamplona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pamplona
35%
Draws
28%
Huarte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pamplona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Huarte haven't matched Pamplona's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 20%
Huarte Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pamplona Huarte
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Huarte
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Huarte vs Pamplona
1:2
Apr 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Huarte
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Huarte vs Pamplona
4:0
Apr 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Huarte vs Pamplona
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Etxabarri I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Huarte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pamplona 31 / 100
Huarte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pamplona Huarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamplona found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).

Huarte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pamplona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pamplona VS Huarte
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pamplona

(Home)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
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Huarte

(Away)
25 Sept
Doneztebe FT
3 : 3
Huarte
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
22 Aug
Huarte
0 : 1
Osasuna B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)